American elections: “a good thing settled”
Karine Prémont, professor at the School of Applied Politics at the University of Sherbrooke and Deputy Director of the Observatory on the United States at the Raoul-Dandurand Chair at UQAM.
Share November 7, 2020 5:41 pm Share American elections: “a good thing settled”
Mireille Vachon La Tribune Joe Biden's victory was announced Saturday morning after four days of endless suspense for the American population. “The suspense, for the American elections, it is never very good, so it is a good thing that it is over”, maintains the political scientist Karine Prémont.
Indeed, “uncertainty, it is not good for the markets, it is not good for the morale of the people, nor for the international stability, so it is a good thing that it is settled”, advance Ms. Prémont, professor at the School of Applied Politics at the University of Sherbrooke and Deputy Director of the Observatory on the United States at the Raoul-Dandurand Chair at UQAM.
There are still vote counts to be done as of this writing, either in North Carolina and Georgia, but Joe Biden's lead is enough to make him proclaimed the 46th President of the United States.
“It will remain to be seen how Donald Trump reacts. It is especially his reaction that is expected in the coming days, says Karine Prémont. We do not imagine that he will concede the victory, but he does not need to do so for the transition to take place nonetheless. “
What can we expect in the coming days? According to the political scientist, Joe Biden will address the nation on Saturday night. “He will undoubtedly try to deliver a unifying message, and he will probably soon start some projects to be ready when it is the time to govern in January. “
As for Donald Trump, no one knows when he will speak to the media. According to information from Karine Prémont, he spent his Saturday on a golf course.
Good or bad news?
The less good news is that the election is extremely close in terms of the votes cast. “We already knew that there was a marked division in American society, but it is further proof of this division. The biggest challenge will remain to bring people together and reduce the division between the two camps, ”says Ms. Prémont.
A more resounding victory by Joe Biden would have given hope that the American divergence of views might be on the way to diminishing. “There, we see that she is probably there for longer than we imagined …”
Even though she is not a specialist in international economic issues, Karine Prémont is convinced that there will be “a return to normality in terms of collaboration, diplomacy and the relationship between the Prime Minister of Canada and the President of the United States. United “.
“The Canadian government is going to know a little more on which foot to step and it will be in some predictability,” she said, adding that in the past four years Trump's unpredictability has made discussions difficult at times.
One can also imagine that there will be a certain ideological affinity between Justin Trudeau and Joe Biden, which “will perhaps improve the relationship between the two countries”.
Even if she is passionate about politics, Karine Prémont would not have liked to experience this kind of election in her country. “It's already very difficult emotionally and professionally to live this from a distance, so I prefer to live it from afar without being too involved. This is the best position, ”she believes.